Answers Binomial Probability Calculator

What is the probability of exactly 2 heads in 4 coin flips?

This is a binomial probability question because each coin flip is an independent trial with the same success probability, and the question asks for one exact success count.

Probability result

37.5%

Exact fraction: 3/8

Decimal: 0.375

The probability of exactly 2 successes is 37.5%.

For a fair coin, the chance of heads on each flip is 1/2. The binomial model counts how many 4-flip sequences contain exactly 2 heads and 2 tails.

Worked steps

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  1. Inputs: trials = 4, target successes = 2, p = 0.5, event = exactly.
  2. Formula: P(X = k) = C(n, k)p^k(1-p)^(n-k).
  3. Substitute: use C(4, k) with p = 1/2 and 1-p = 1/2.
  4. Steps: evaluate the binomial term for X = 2 and combine them.
  5. Result: The probability of exactly 2 successes is 37.5%.

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For a fair coin, the chance of heads on each flip is 1/2. The binomial model counts how many 4-flip sequences contain exactly 2 heads and 2 tails.

Formula

Probability model

P(E) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes

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Calculation work